Caliphate 2041? A thought experiment

How long will it be before the first Islamic party is formed, mosques become an even more prominent feature of the cityscape, women wear veils and a “Sharia police force” roams through schools (Der Westen) and cities, and not just in parts of NRW? If it remains at 503,000 people (which is increasing anyway) and a rate of 78.6%, you can calculate for yourself when the critical mass is reached.

Germany is changing.

Now to the news:

Islamist rally in Hamburg: Over 1000 participants

More than 1000 Islamists gathered in Hamburg for a rally organized by the group “Muslim Interaktiv” (source: Welt).

The participants called for an end to the German “dictatorship of values” and supported the idea of a caliphate.

Posters with provocative slogans

Slogans such as “Caliphate is the solution” could be seen on posters.

“Muslim Interactive”: influencing young Muslims

The group “Muslim Interactive” aims to appeal to young Muslims and deals with topics such as discrimination. Its leader, Joe Adade Boateng, acts as an Islamist influencer on social media.

Criticism of media coverage of the Middle East conflict

The rally also adressed the Middle East conflict and criticized the media coverage of it. There had already been previous demonstrations by this group, which led to political debates about how to deal with opponents of the state and democracy.

This is just an isolated case! … Hamburg last year

Not a new phenomenon, especially in Hamburg.

Did you already know? Only 2 facts

1. Islam dominates 78.6% of immigrants in Germany
2. 41.3% of crime Immigrants without a passport (14.3% of the population)

Islam: 78.6% of immigrants in Germany

Immigration of 503,000 people (excluding Ukraine), 78.6% of whom are Islamic. Here you can see the distribution of the religious affiliation of first-time asylum applicants in Germany in 2023. Source: Federal Statistical Office.

41.3 percent (!) of all suspects are foreigners

From the category “Problems must be adressed in a fact-based, solution-oriented manner”, today on the 2023 crime statistics. Berlin, Frankfurt am Main, Hamburg and large parts of North Rhine-Westphalia in particular are struggling with increasing crime, with a full 41.3% of suspects being people without German citizenship (which is only 14.6% of the population). Criminal immigration is increasingly becoming an investment risk for Germany as a business location. In 4 years + 9.3% crimes, last year alone 5%.

• News on crime statistics

41.3 percent of all suspects are foreigners

From the category “Problems must be adressed in a fact-based, solution-oriented way”, today on crime statistics 2023.

Berlin, Frankfurt am Main, Hamburg and large parts of North Rhine-Westphalia in particular are struggling with rising crime rates, with a full 41.3% of suspects being people without German citizenship (which is only 14.6% of the population). Criminal immigration is increasingly becoming an investment risk for Germany as a business location. In 4 years + 9.3% crimes, last year alone 5%.

The news on crime statistics

Let’s start with the facts:

“Overall, more than 41.3 percent of all suspects are foreigners.” – Tagesschau

The headlines do not stop, understandably. After all, as can be seen from the number of deportations, too little is being done to repatriate criminals or, even better, to prevent them from entering the country in the first place. More headlines from the last few days:

• “Violent crime in Germany at its highest for 15 years” – Zeit
• “More violence, more burglaries” – Tagesspiegel
• “Violent crime in Germany is rising massively” – Welt

What exactly does that mean in facts and figures?

Only 14.6% of people in Germany are without German citizenship – Statista

That means:

This means that 14.6% of people in Germany are responsible for 41.3% of crimes

With an additional 351,915 immigrants per year (2023), there are also some who have other goals here than to lead a good, quiet life. 31,770 deportations were planned, which corresponds to far less than 10% of immigration in Germany. Only 16,430 were carried out. Germany is becoming a hotspot for a weak economy and increasing violent crime.

Germany map: Where are the most crimes committed?

A look at 2 urban maps of Germany from the

Criminal offenses in Germany – Infographic

Total crimes per 100,000 inhabitants (blue to red). Data basis: Police crime statistics, Federal Criminal Police Office.

• Up to under 4,000 (blue)
• 4,000 to under 5,000
• 5,000 to under 6,000
• 6,000 to under 7,000
• 7,000 and more (red)

Quelle: BUND

Burglaries in Germany – Infographic

Cases of domestic burglary per 100,000 inhabitants in 2022. Source and data basis here also the police crime statistics, Federal Criminal Police Office.

• Up to under 20
• 20 to under 40
• 40 to under 60
• 60 to under 80
• 80 and more

Quelle: BUND

Example Hamburg: 2% of the population and 11% crime rate

Hamburg 1 reports on the 2023 crime statistics: More violent crime due to robbery and assault in Hamburg.

Investing in Germany

Where to invest? A look at over 700 cities in Germany in the Lukinski Rating.

• Investing in Germany

Selling an apartment building: Step by step

Let’s start with the most frequently asked question: “What is my apartment building worth?”. Then you will learn about all 18 steps of the sale, right up to handing over the keys in Berlin.

How much is your apartment building worth?

Small apartment buildings with 3 or 4 parties or large residential properties, with or without commercial space. There are many questions to answer. If you want to sell your apartment building, one thing is important:

A well-founded, market-oriented, realistic purchase price – the so-called market value.

How to value an apartment building

The property type determines the valuation method used to determine the market value. There are three standardized valuation methods for determining the market value of properties: the comparative value method, the asset value method and the capitalized earnings value method. Property, substance, year of construction, rental agreements, tenants and potential. We pay attention to all of these aspects when valuing apartment buildings in Berlin.

As a rule, at least two of these procedures are calculated simultaneously.

• Valuate apartment building
• Typical evaluation procedures
• Have an apartment building valued

Selling in Berlin: What to look out for?

1. Location, property prices: Buyer Target group
2. Documents: floor plans, extract from the land register, tenant lists
3. Good contacts or a good broker

Location, property prices: Buyer Target group

Berlin is special compared to other small German towns, cities and large cities. Berlin is extremelysought-after (A-location), not only by German buyers, but also abroad. Property prices are therefore so high that the expected return is rarely positive. This makes the investor target group more special.

You need to reach people who focus on long-term investments and do not need immediate cash flow.

This is why over 70% of apartment buildings in Berlin are sold with estate agents. Targeted marketing on-market and off-market, communication, credit checks, preliminary talks, documents, viewings, negotiations.

So be prepared, you are not selling a condominium with hundreds of prospective buyers, you have to address the right target group.

Documents: Floor plans, land register excerpt, tenant lists, etc.

Before the sales phase begins, you need all the relevant documents for selling your property. To cut a long story short, these are the documents you will need when selling an apartment building in Berlin:

1. Land register extract
2. Parcel map
3. Building plans and building permits
4. Refurbishment status / refurbishment backlog
5. Rental agreements
6. Tenant list
7. Operating cost statements
8. Energy certificate
9. Status report or expert opinion

Good contacts or a good broker

This brings us back to the right contacts. Apartment buildings in Berlin are usually not under 2 million euros, which requires special contacts with sufficient creditworthiness. This is precisely why over 70% of apartment buildings in Berlin are sold with estate agents.

Ultimately, it is always a personal question whether to sell, with or without an estate agent.

Anyone selling with an estate agent does not want to invest time in lengthy research, communication and negotiations. But it’s also about the selling price. If you only talk to 3 or 4 people yourself, you will be lucky to get 1 offer. Professionals use their contacts and talk to many potential buyers in order to get the best, highest offer that can be achieved in the current market situation.

Here are a few more details.

Taxes when selling in Berlin: What will you have to pay?

A very quick look at taxes when selling an apartment building in Berlin:

1. Speculation tax: sell tax-free
2. 3 objects rule in Berlin
3. Asset & share deals: only 1.54% tax

Speculation tax: selling tax-free?

The speculation period explained more quickly:

• (Exclusively owner-occupied = 3 years)
• Rented = 10 years

If you sell within the speculation period, you must – simply put – pay tax on the profits as normal, just like income from work, regardless of whether you are employed or self-employed. If you want to do a quick calculation, use my free speculation tax calculator. Once the period has expired, the sale is tax-free.

There is also the 3-object rule and, of interest to you, the difference between an asset deal and a share deal. Read more here:

• Selling an apartment building: Taxes

Real estate & tax coaching

Real estate & tax coaching from experts and investors. I am happy to bring you together with the best:

• Real estate coaching
• Real estate tax coaching
• Contact us

Here you can find more for:

• Real estate beginners

Solar greenhouses in Spain

Spain, with its warm climate and abundant hours of sunshine, offers ideal conditions for the use of solar greenhouses. These special greenhouses are designed to make optimum use of sunlight while providing plants with the necessary protection from extreme weather conditions. As we are also frequently involved in the sale of agricultural land, sustainable agriculture is always an exciting future field for us.

The use of solar greenhouses in Spain has increased in recent years, especially in the commercial sector. Large agricultural businesses and mega-projects have recognized that this method is not only environmentally friendly, but also offers considerable advantages.

Cultivation area for solar greenhouses in Spain

The cultivation area for solar greenhouses in Spain has increased considerably in recent years. This is mainly due to the growing demand for sustainably grown food and the increased use of renewable energy sources. Large agricultural companies and mega-projects are increasingly investing in solar greenhouses in order to increase their yields and reduce their environmental footprint at the same time.

How a solar greenhouse works

This video explains the important considerations and elements when building a passive solar greenhouse. These include positioning in relation to solar radiation, choice of glazing (polycarbonate), building materials (wood and fiber cement panels), insulation, thermal mass, ventilation options, preparation of planting beds and automation of processes such as ventilation and irrigation. This overview provides useful information for building an efficient passive solar greenhouse.

Example of agriculture in Almería: challenges and opportunities

Almería, a region in Spain, is known for its plastic greenhouses, which cover an enormous amount of land. These greenhouses play a crucial role in supplying Europe with fruit and vegetables, and they provide between 40 and 50 percent of these products. However, intensive agriculture in Almería has both positive and negative aspects. I recommend the video below on the subject.

Positive impact on the economy and technology

The greenhouses in Almería have brought an economic boom to the region. They enable year-round production and contribute to economic development. State-of-the-art technology is used to increase productivity and minimize the need for pesticides.

Working conditions and social controversies

Despite their economic importance, the working conditions in the greenhouses are controversial. The predominantly immigrant workforce often faces low wages, insecure employment and health risks from pesticides. This has led to public controversy and social challenges.

Environmental impact and sustainability

Intensive farming in Almería also has an environmental impact. Plastic waste and pesticides pollute the environment. Nevertheless, progress is being made in water use and recycling in order to minimize the environmental impact. The region uses less water per capita than many other regions in Spain.

Consumer behavior and demand

The demand for cheap, year-round fruit and vegetables in Europe has driven intensive farming in Almería. Consumers play an important role in this model, as they demand low-priced products.

Intensive farming in Almería has both positive and negative aspects. It provides Europe with an abundance of fruit and vegetables, but the working conditions and environmental impact are controversial. The future of this agriculture depends on the willingness to tackle these challenges and raise consumer awareness of their impact.

Fighting pests in an ecological way

Almería benefits from abundant sunshine, even in winter, which makes it possible to harvest ripe peppers and tomatoes all year round. This locational advantage has led to an increase in organic farming in the region in recent years. According to Yamato (source: YouTube), who works for the Association of Vegetable Growers in Almería:

“the proportion of land under organic cultivation has risen from 1.4 percent to an impressive 10.3 percent and continues to show strong growth.”

In the greenhouses of Almería, biological pest control is used to reduce the use of pesticides. Various predatory insects such as predatory mites, ladybugs and lacewings are used to keep pests such as aphids at bay. This ecological approach helps to minimize the environmental impact of agriculture.

More on this in a moment.

Mass with class! Almería from above

Despite these positive aspects, there are also challenges. In the hot months, pests can multiply quickly and cause considerable damage to the plants. The use of plastic in agriculture, which is used to cover greenhouses, also has an environmental impact. One solution is to fully recycle the plastic and work on optimizing water consumption.

Sustainable fruit and vegetables from Europe

Another example is the program“It’s Greenhouse. Sustainable fruit and vegetables from Europe” provides a range of key figures and information on sustainability and its application in the Spanish fruit and vegetable sector. Here are some of the key figures:

Growth of solar greenhouse cultivation

The area of solar greenhouses in southern Europe, particularly in the Spanish region of Andalusia, has grown from 515 hectares in the 2006/2007 season to more than 27,863 hectares in the past 2022/2023 season.

Biological pest control

The program emphasizes the use of biological pest control in the solar greenhouses. This includes the use of auxiliary fauna to control pests and diseases without using synthetic pesticides.

Top 7 products with biological pest control

The top list of natural pest control:

1. Paprika leads the way in the use of biological pest control with 100% of its area,
2. Followed by tomatoes,
3. Cucumbers,
4. Eggplants,
5. Zucchini,
6. Watermelons
7. Melons

Sustainable agriculture and renewable energies

Solar greenhouses have become an important element of sustainable agriculture and renewable energy in Spain. The area under cultivation is growing steadily and their benefits are attractive for mega-projects and agricultural companies alike. The combination of energy efficiency, year-round cultivation and environmental protection makes this cultivation method a promising solution for the future of agriculture in Spain.

Supermarket in Off Market Sale

Our long-standing contacts with private investors and renowned family offices enable us to carry out your supermarket sale in a discreet and targeted manner. We understand the needs and requirements of our clients and can approach potential buyers in a targeted manner. So you won’t find an online advertisement with “supermarket for sale”, we work discreetly within our investor network, with targeted individual approaches, whether in Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, Cologne, Düsseldorf, Frankfurt or anywhere else in Germany.

Why Lukinski? 3 advantages

Before we look at the sales process in detail, 3 reasons why you should work with us and me.

Discretion and anonymity

We attach great importance to discretion and enable you to process your supermarket sale off-market. This means that your transaction remains confidential and does not attract any unwanted attention.

Access to a broad network of buyers

Our long-standing relationships with private investors open up an extended circle of potential buyers for you. This enables you to find the best buyer for your supermarket and achieve optimal sales conditions.

Expertise and professional support

Stephan M. Czaja (Lukinski)

Selling a supermarket is a complex process that requires specialist knowledge and experience. Working with our team, you will benefit from our expertise in the real estate market, our market analysis and our ability to conduct successful negotiations. We accompany you from the preparation phase to the completion of the sale to ensure that your interests are represented in the best possible way.

Questions? Write to me without obligation or give me a call:

• Contact us

Typical sales process

The sale of a supermarket usually follows a similar process to that of regular real estate sales:

Preparation: Step 1 in sales

Gather all the necessary documents and information and discuss your intentions to sell with an experienced real estate agent or consultant. Important documents include:

• Proof of ownership: You must be able to prove that you are the legal owner of the supermarket.
• Financial information: Potential buyers will want to analyze your financial data, including sales and profits.
• Condition report: A detailed report on the condition of the building and any renovation work or repairs that may be required in the near future.
• Rental agreements: A list of current rental agreements and tenants, including terms and rental prices.
• Environmental evaluation: Information on environmental impacts and possible environmental requirements.
• Expert opinion: An independent estimate of the market value of your supermarket.

Evaluation: Step 2

Obtain a professional valuation of your supermarket by calling in an expert like us, who will determine the optimum selling price on the basis of documents and an on-site appraisal.

Marketing: Step 3

Your estate agent will discreetly position your supermarket on the market and approach potential buyers.

Offers and negotiations: Step 4

When offers are received, negotiations are held on the sales price and the terms of the contract.

Due diligence: Step 5

The buyer will carry out a comprehensive review of all relevant documents and information.

Conclusion of contract: Step 6

After successful negotiations and completion of due diligence, the sales contract is signed. “Due diligence” refers to the process of carefully reviewing and examining documents, information (above) and aspects of a business or transaction to identify potential risks and opportunities before a decision is made.

Completion of the transaction

The sale is completed and the new owner takes over your supermarket.

If you would like to sell your supermarket discreetly and professionally, we will be happy to assist you. Our many years of experience and our extensive network enable us to handle the sales process smoothly and efficiently. Contact us today for more information.

Contact: Lukinski

Do you have any questions? Write to us without obligation or give us a call.

• Contact us

Selling a commercial property

For more information and tips on supermarket sales, read our comprehensive guide:

• Selling a commercial property
• Sell underground parking garage