Bavaria: Trends and forecasts for the 2017 federal election

Let’s go! Germany votes and we have summarized the first projections from the Bundestag election officer. A whole country goes to vote, also Bavaria prepares meticulously for the upcoming elections.we have the forecasts and trends from Potsdam to Hanover. For your constituency and your city we have the current forecasts, trends and projections. The election date is determined by the incumbent Federal President in cooperation with the Berlin Federal Government and the parliamentary groups as well as with the states and their political representatives. Here’s how Bavaria would vote at this time. More on the 2018 state election in Bavaria.

CDU Bundestag election forecasts

The CDU / CSU is a renowned and established people’s party, already since 1945 it is active in the federal government and in the individual states. In the German Bundestag, the CDU / CSU appear as a joint parliamentary group, so they are a community of MPs. What are the chances of the CDU / CSU? 53.9% can the CDU / CSU in Bavaria (Bavaria) for themselves.

Read more about the CDU / CSU here.

Social Democratic Party (SPD), the federal party with election program

Politically, the Social Democratic Party of Germany is represented nationwide. As a party, the SPD has a similarly high membership as the Christian Democratic Union. Its membership figures are higher than those of the other political parties. What is the SPD’s standing in the electorate’s favor? What chances does the SPD have? The SPD currently gets 22.0% in Bavaria with 1,443,710 votes. At the same time 20.0% of the second votes in the district with 1.314.009 votes. For the federal election, the Social Democrats are speculating with a 5 percentage point plus according to forecasts. Here you can find more information about the SPD or read more about the SPD on Wikipedia.

Linkspartei: The Left Party Bundestag Group

The Left Party did not start out of nowhere. Through joint unification of SPD resigned, the WASG and the Linkspartei.PDS was formed in 2007 Die Linke, their joint basic program was adopted many years later. How do the people in Bavaria vote on the parties for the Bundestag election? will win the party for itself and 3.8% of the secondary votes to the election. Additional information on Die Linke.

Trends of Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen Bundestag Elections

As a party at the federal level, Bündnis 90/The Greens are of course particularly concerned with sustainable concepts and policies. Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen focus on green economy, environmental protection and a strong, solidary Europe, as well as on the integration of refugees and of course equality in society. According to their own statements, they stand for a cosmopolitan, just and ecological society based on solidarity, from electric cars to integration, from green economy to data protection. There are constantly new election forecasts in news magazines. How do the people in Bavaria decide on the parties for the Bundestag elections? Prognosticated wins the Greens in Bavaria (Bavaria) currently 7.7% and with 552,818 votes 8.4% of the second votes in the constituency. Further information on the Green Party, also on Wikipedia and on the current election programme of the Green Party for the Bundestag election

FDP (Die Liberalen): Principles and election programme

. Their substantive basic idea of the FDP is political liberalism. Which it has always traditionally represented in Germany. How is it about the FDP in the favor of voters? will win the party for themselves and 5.1% of the second votes to the election. Read more about the FDP here.

The parliamentary group of the Alternative for Germany (AfD)

Only as a counter-movement to the bailout, the party AfD was founded and is politically conservative. Barely a year later, it entered eleven state parliaments with its representatives, very quickly for new political parties. The party and its concept is located in the spectrum of parties on the right, it is accordingly predominantly classified as right-wing populist, which many journalists also see critical point. Forecasts bring the AfD to 146,714 voters, which is 2.2% of citizens here who will cast their first vote for the AfD.Read more about the AfD here.

This is what people are interested in this year

  1. Environmental policy
  2. Budgetary policy
  3. Education policy
  4. Migration policy
  5. German reparation policy
  6. Defence policy
  7. Transport policy

Tendency and trends for Bavaria in Bavaria

The projection for Bavaria constituency. Here you can find the projection for Bavaria’s most important city Munich.

Parties Voter Percent
SPD 1.443.710 22.0%
Second vote SPD 1.314.009 20.0%
CDU/CSU 3.544.079 53.9%
Second vote CDU/CSU 3.243.569 49.4%
FDP 183.259 2.8%
Second vote FDP 334.158 5.1%
The Left 225.218 3.4%
Second vote The Left 248.920 3.8%
The Greens 505.800 7.7%
Second vote The Greens 552.818 8.4%
AfD 146.714 2.2%
Second vote AfD 283.570 4.3%
independent voters 192.702 2.9%
Second vote Free Voters 180.649 2.7%
The party 2.260 0.0%
Second vote The Party 0 0.0%

Basis/Source: The Federal Election Commissioner / Wiesbaden 2016 / Result of the election to the 18th German Bundestag on 22 September 2013 converted to the 299 constituencies in the delimitation determined for the 2017 Bundestag election.

More trends about Munich and Bavaria:

  • Forecast Munich

Surveys in all federal states